Exploring the World Wide Web Population's Other Half
Reporting results from one of the largest Internet surveys to date, SRI
International released new data about users of the World Wide Web--who
is on it, how they use it, and why.
The effort is the first to augment standard demographics (such as age, income,
and gender) with a psychographic analysis of the Web population. Utilizing
one of the world's leading psychographic systems, SRI's VALS
2*, the survey explored the psychology of people's choices and behavior
on the Web.
The results paint a picture of two Web audiences. The first is the group
that drives most of the media coverage and stereotypes of Web users, the
"upstream" audience. Comprising 50% of the current Web population,
this well-documented group is the upscale, technically oriented academics
and professionals that ride on a variety of institutional subsidies. Yet
because this group comprises only 10% of the U.S. population in the VALS
2 system, their behaviors and characteristics are of limited usefulness
in understanding the future Web.
The second Web audience comprises a diverse set of groups that SRI calls
the Web's "other half." Accounting for the other 90% of U.S. society,
these groups are where Internet growth will increasingly need to take place
if the medium is to go mainstream. Among the SRI survey's findings of the
Web's other half are:
- The other-half gender split--64% male and 36% female--is significantly
more balanced than the upstream group's split of 77% and 23%. (The gender
split for the overall sample is
70% male and 30% female, a figure that did not change across the four-month
sample period.)
- Many information-intensive consumers in the U.S. population are in
the other-half population rather than the upstream population. These particular
other-half consumers report the highest degree of frustration with the Web
of any population segment. Although they drive much of the consumer-information
industry in other media, they as a group have yet to find the Web particularly
valuable.
- The "information have-nots"--those groups not on the Web
at all--are excluded not because of low income but because of limited education.
Although income for the Web audience
is somewhat upscale (a median yearly income of $40,000), it includes a substantial
number of low-income users (28% have yearly incomes of less than $20,000).
The same cannot be said of education ,
which basically has a high-end-only distribution: 97% of the upstream audience
and 89% of the other-half audience reports at least some college education,
including the low-income respondents. These results confirm that education
is the key to Internet participation, which calls into question the effectiveness
of proposals to empower information have-nots with income-targeted subsidies
for Internet access.
The sections below provide more detail on the findings of the SRI survey,
focusing particularly on the dynamics of the Web population's other half.
The Upstream Web Audience
According to SRI, the prototypical upstream Web user falls into a single
consumer segment of the U.S. population--called Actualizers
in the VALS 2 system. This segment accounts for 50% of the current Web population,
yet only 10% of the U.S. population as a whole. Members of the segment are
highly educated and work in academic or technical fields (technical professionals,
scientists, and professors were the top three job categories).
Actualizers' primary motivation for using the Web, especially in terms of
initial usage, appears to be work related (70% believe the Web makes them
more productive). Yet the separation between work and play on the Web is
fuzzy. 70% of mainstream users also regularly surf the Web for recreational
purposes, with 44% reporting occasional conflicts with work in this regard.
As consumers, Actualizers are active, discriminating, adventurous, in the
prime of life, and nearing the peak of occupational income. They are particularly
strong consumers of higher-brow, quality-associated products--Scientific
American, "practical chic" cars such as Acuras, eclectic music
and art--and they travel extensively. In short, they are what all the excitement
is about when "the consumer Internet" is invoked. The problem
is, the fast-growing consumer Internet that most observers anticipate will
saturate the Actualizer population relatively quickly, leaving the question
of who drives continued growth.
The Other Half of the Web Audience
If the Web is to become a truly mass medium, it must expand beyond the Actualizer
segment and include more of the other 90% of U.S. society. Clues about how
that expansion must take place are visible in the responses from the Web's
other half.
The GenX Contingent. Currently, most of the Web's other half are
students or recent graduates working in technical, managerial, or professional
fields. This population is overwhelmingly a Generation X crowd, with some
70% of other-half respondents reporting ages under 30.
Two different VALS 2 segments--similar demographically but different psychographically--represent
this population. One group, called Strivers,
is more technically sophisticated and notably more pro-Web than the other
group, called Experiencers. Although Strivers occur in the SRI sample at
virtually the same level they occur in the overall U.S. population (13%),
their attitudes about the Web indicate an unusually high level of engagement.
In the SRI survey, Strivers report spending the most time on the Web (even
more than the Web mainstream population), including 70% reporting that recreational
Web surfing sometimes conflicts with work. They also disagree vehemently
with the statement that the Internet is less useful than the media says.
The group's high engagement with the Web is something of a surprise because,
as consumers, Strivers typically represent followers rather than leaders.
In this regard, their attitudes could point toward a component of faddishness
in the current excitement surrounding the Web in addition to the educational
Internet-access subsidy--or legacy of such a subsidy--that underlies much
of the other-half audience.
The other main group for 20-something Web users, Experiencers
seem more easily bored by the Web than Strivers. In addition, Experiencers
believe that the Internet makes them less productive, a significant deviation
from the overall sample's pro-productivity view. As consumers, members of
this group are innovative, stimulation seeking, and fashionable. Although
they are a healthy chunk of the overall SRI sample (18% compared to 12%
in the U.S. population), their relative coolness to the Web suggests that
the Web's form and content is not meeting their expectations. For recreation,
these consumers tend toward action, either physically or vicariously through
video games such as Doom and action-oriented movies. The Web's current click-and-wait
dynamics and its preponderance of text probably cause much of this group's
dissatisfaction.
Ironically, advertisers tend to target Experiencers as a chief group representing
the "digital revolution." Readers of magazines such as Wired
will instantly recognize a genre of visually kinetic, youth-oriented imagery
that talks to this audience. Yet the evidence from the SRI survey suggests
that, although Experiencers are definitely wired for the Web, they are not
necessarily the most intense users. If anything, the results of the survey
indicate that the most intense users are those that appreciate the nonkinetic
text-with-occasional-graphics media of the current Web.
Underrepresented Segments. In addition to Strivers and Experiencers,
two other groups appear in the Web population's other half. The first group
is Fulfilleds, an older audience most
densely clustered in the 35-45 age range. Fulfilleds are 11% of the Web
population, approximately the same level as in the overall U.S. population.
Because Fulfilleds are one of the most information hungry VALS 2 segments,
they have the promise of overrepresentation in the sample. However, the
SRI data suggests that Fulfilleds find the Web difficult to use, both in
form and content. For example, Fulfilleds report the highest frustration
of any segment with the Web. In addition, 40% of Fulfilleds agree that the
Internet is less useful than the media says.
Fulfilleds' information seeking is a manifestation of a desire for order--in
a consumer context, for making good choices based on relatively complete
information. They read publications such as Consumer Reports, purchase products
on the basis of practicality, and make principled lifestyle choices. As
Fulfilleds engage the Web's information anarchy reluctantly, they appear
to be waiting for more familiar indicators of direction and value on the
Web--better navigation tools, contextual authority, and trusted brands.
Because Fulfilleds tend to be strong drivers of consumer-information products
and services in other media, the group has very good prospects in a maturing
Internet marketspace.
The other significant VALS 2 segment on the Web is called Achievers,
13% of the U.S. population but only 6% of the SRI sample. Achievers are
a stable, upscale, and family-oriented segment typically working in white-collar
occupations such as management and sales. Although occupation and education
suggest Achievers should flock to the Internet, they are underrepresented.
One reason is that Achievers are predominantly women (both in the U.S. population
and in the SRI sample) and are the most time-pressured consumers--characteristics
that dispose them against the Internet's male ambience and its disorganized
nature. In addition, Achievers place high value on the relationship aspects
of communications. Though inclined to Internet participation through education
and work, they may find the impersonality, triviality, and poverty of social
information on the Internet--and the lack of efficient and easy-to-learn
Internet resources--uncongenial.
Like Fulfilleds, Achievers reveal a clear disparity between online and "real
world" user profiles, differences that seem to stem from the structure
and content of the current Web itself. Better serving these otherwise highly
attractive audiences will be increasingly necessary as the Internet transitions
from an early-adopter frontier to a more general-purpose commercial and
consumer medium. Nonrepresented Segments. Three other VALS 2 segments--Believers,
Makers, and Strugglers--only
account for some 2% of respondents to the SRI survey. This result is not
a surprise. Members of such segments are unlikely candidates for near-term
Internet use because of their lack of education, limited financial resources,
lack of occupational subsidies, and/or attitudes that tend toward technology
suspicion or aversion.
If the various other groups that populate the Web naturally fall into some
aspect of academic or corporate subsidy for Internet use, these nonrepresented
groups fall between the cracks. As groups, they are the prototypical "information
have-nots"--not just for new kinds of media but also, in general, for
existing information media such as newspapers.
Many observers have noted that these nonrepresented segments are typified
by low income and that, if members of these segments are not assisted with
"digital on-ramps" (for example, subsidized Internet access),
a two-tier Information Society is inevitable. Yet the SRI research suggests
that income-based subsidization alone--such as that associated with telephony
in the United States--is not likely to be effective with the Internet. Instead,
the SRI research reinforces the idea that the Information Society is evolving
a new class structure based on educationally acquired abilities rather than
economic wealth. In a society where government interventions focus on the
redistribution of wealth, this is a watershed social change. Education cannot
be redistributed in the same way taxable wealth can; it can only be redistributed
by long-term partnerships between government, businesses, and communities
that understand the value of education to the children of the next generation.
Although this situation leaves no easy answers to the information have-not
problem, it raises some warnings that traditional methods of addressing
the problem may be misguided.
Background on the Survey
Between February and May 1995, more than 5500 people took an online version
of the VALS 2 attitude questionnaire, augmented
with additional Internet-specific questions for some 1000 respondents. This
audience was self-selected in that it represented only those people who
found the survey through their own Web explorations or those of people they
know and who found the time and inclination to answer the questionnaire.
All forms of survey research contain some form of sample bias, but in the
SRI survey the effects of self-selection bias are apparently small. First,
there are no significant changes in the sample population across the time
period of the study, as one would expect if different levels of self-selecting
attributes were related to any of the demographics or attitude items of
this survey. Second, the SRI sample is closer to the general population
demographics than any previous published study, including studies that use
more "rigorous" sampling methods, such as random probability samples
and mail surveys of U.S. households; typically sample bias distorts a sample
away from the general characteristics of the population. Finally, sample
bias becomes a serious concern only when there is evidence that some groups
may indeed be excluded from the sample. Yet evidence from retail sales figures,
institutional surveys, social trends, policy studies, or other surveys does
not indicate any social groups that the SRI study may have systematically
excluded.
The survey was conducted by SRI's Values
and Lifestyles program to investigate how psychographic systems such
as VALS 2 can be relevant to helping on-line users identify content of interest
and how content providers and advertisers can better understand their potential
audiences. Using the results of the survey, work is now underway to create
Internet-specific segmentations for several different applications.
* VALS, and acronym for Values and Lifestyles, is a trademark of SRI International.
Copyright 1995, SRI International. For more information or to provide comments, send mail to vals@sri.com